INSA poll of 18 March 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 17 Mar 2025
- Respondents
- 2,008
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%+1.0
- AfD22.0%±0
- SPD15.5%-0.5
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke10.5%+0.5
- BSW5.0%±0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Mar 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 2,008 people were surveyed from 14 to 17 Mar 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Mar 2025, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Linke 2.3 points higher and Grüne 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Mar 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +2.3average 8.2
- Grüne -1.7average 12.7
- AfD +1.2average 20.8
- FDP -1.1average 4.1
- BSW +0.7average 4.3
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 29.4
- SPD +0.3average 15.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU196
- AfD149
- SPD105
- Grüne75
- Linke71
- BSW34
- CDU/CSU + AfD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne376 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + BSW335 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne329 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.