INSA poll of 21 March 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 21 Mar 2025
- Respondents
- 1,202
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%-2.0
- AfD23.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%-0.5
- Grüne12.0%+1.0
- Linke10.0%-0.5
- BSW5.0%±0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Mar 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,202 people were surveyed from 17 to 21 Mar 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Mar 2025, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.3 points lower and AfD 2.1 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Mar 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.3average 29.3
- AfD +2.1average 20.9
- Linke +1.8average 8.2
- FDP -1.1average 4.1
- BSW +0.7average 4.3
- Grüne -0.6average 12.6
- SPD -0.3average 15.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- AfD158
- SPD103
- Grüne82
- Linke68
- BSW34
- CDU/CSU + AfD343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke356 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke335 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + BSW322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.