INSA poll of 24 March 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 24 Mar 2025
- Respondents
- 2,004
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- AfD23.5%+0.5
- SPD14.5%-0.5
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke10.5%+0.5
- BSW4.5%-0.5
- FDP3.5%+0.5
- Others4.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Mar 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 23.5%. 2,004 people were surveyed from 21 to 24 Mar 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Mar 2025, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.6 points higher and CDU/CSU 2.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Mar 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.6average 20.9
- CDU/CSU -2.3average 29.3
- Linke +2.3average 8.2
- SPD -0.8average 15.3
- Grüne -0.6average 12.6
- FDP -0.6average 4.1
- BSW +0.2average 4.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU195
- AfD169
- SPD104
- Grüne86
- Linke76
- CDU/CSU + AfD364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke375 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke357 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke349 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke331 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.