INSA poll of 30 March 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 28 Mar 2025
- Respondents
- 1,204
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
- AfD23.0%-0.5
- SPD16.0%+1.5
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke10.0%-0.5
- BSW5.0%+0.5
- FDP3.0%-0.5
- Others5.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Mar 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,204 people were surveyed from 24 to 28 Mar 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 24 Mar 2025, SPD gains 1.5 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.5 points lower and AfD 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Mar 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.5average 28.5
- AfD +1.6average 21.4
- Linke +1.4average 8.6
- FDP -0.8average 3.8
- BSW +0.7average 4.3
- SPD +0.6average 15.4
- Grüne -0.5average 12.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU178
- AfD158
- SPD110
- Grüne82
- Linke68
- BSW34
- CDU/CSU + AfD336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke356 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne350 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + BSW322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.