INSA poll of 31 March 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 28 to 31 Mar 2025
- Respondents
- 2,006
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.5%+0.5
- AfD23.5%+0.5
- SPD15.5%-0.5
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke10.5%+0.5
- BSW4.5%-0.5
- FDP3.5%+0.5
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 Mar 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.5%, followed by AfD on 23.5%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 28 to 31 Mar 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 Mar 2025, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.1 points higher and CDU/CSU 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Mar 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.1average 21.4
- CDU/CSU -2.0average 28.5
- Linke +1.9average 8.6
- Grüne -0.5average 12.5
- FDP -0.3average 3.8
- BSW +0.2average 4.3
- SPD +0.1average 15.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- AfD168
- SPD111
- Grüne86
- Linke75
- CDU/CSU + AfD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne387 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke376 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne365 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.