INSA poll of 5 April 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 31 Mar 2025 to 4 Apr 2025
- Respondents
- 1,206
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU24.0%-2.5
- AfD24.0%+0.5
- SPD16.0%+0.5
- Grüne11.0%-1.0
- Linke11.0%+0.5
- FDP4.0%+0.5
- BSW4.0%-0.5
- Others6.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 31 Mar 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 24.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 1,206 people were surveyed from 31 Mar 2025 to 4 Apr 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 31 Mar 2025, CDU/CSU loses 2.5 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 4.0 points lower and Linke 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Apr 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -4.0average 28.0
- Linke +2.0average 9.0
- AfD +1.9average 22.1
- Grüne -1.3average 12.3
- SPD +0.7average 15.3
- BSW -0.2average 4.2
- FDP +0.1average 3.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU176
- AfD176
- SPD117
- Grüne81
- Linke80
- CDU/CSU + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne374 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke373 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.