INSA poll of 7 April 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 7 Apr 2025
- Respondents
- 2,008
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU24.5%+0.5
- AfD24.5%+0.5
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne10.5%-0.5
- Linke10.5%-0.5
- BSW4.5%+0.5
- FDP4.0%±0
- Others5.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Apr 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 24.5%, followed by AfD on 24.5%. 2,008 people were surveyed from 4 to 7 Apr 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Apr 2025, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 2.7 points lower and AfD 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Apr 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.7average 27.2
- AfD +1.8average 22.7
- Grüne -1.3average 11.8
- Linke +0.8average 9.7
- SPD +0.7average 15.3
- BSW +0.3average 4.2
- FDP +0.3average 3.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU180
- AfD179
- SPD117
- Grüne77
- Linke77
- CDU/CSU + AfD359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke374 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne373 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke334 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.