INSA poll of 12 April 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 11 Apr 2025
- Respondents
- 1,202
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU25.0%+0.5
- AfD24.0%-0.5
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%+0.5
- Linke10.0%-0.5
- BSW5.0%+0.5
- FDP3.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Apr 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 1,202 people were surveyed from 7 to 11 Apr 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Apr 2025, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Apr 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.2average 26.2
- BSW +0.9average 4.1
- SPD +0.7average 15.3
- Grüne -0.7average 11.7
- FDP -0.5average 3.5
- AfD +0.4average 23.6
- Linke -0.1average 10.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU173
- AfD166
- SPD111
- Grüne76
- Linke69
- BSW35
- CDU/CSU + AfD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke353 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne353 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + BSW319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.