INSA poll of 15 April 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 14 Apr 2025
- Respondents
- 2,002
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU25.5%+0.5
- AfD24.5%+0.5
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke10.0%±0
- BSW4.5%-0.5
- FDP3.5%+0.5
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Apr 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.5%, followed by AfD on 24.5%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 11 to 14 Apr 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 12 Apr 2025, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Apr 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +0.9average 23.6
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 26.2
- SPD +0.7average 15.3
- Grüne -0.7average 11.7
- BSW +0.4average 4.1
- Linke -0.1average 10.1
- FDP ±0average 3.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- AfD177
- SPD116
- Grüne80
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke373 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne373 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.