INSA poll of 19 April 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 17 Apr 2025
- Respondents
- 1,205
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU25.0%-0.5
- AfD24.0%-0.5
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke10.0%±0
- BSW5.0%+0.5
- FDP4.0%+0.5
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Apr 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 1,205 people were surveyed from 14 to 17 Apr 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Apr 2025, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Apr 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 25.9
- BSW +0.9average 4.1
- Grüne -0.8average 11.8
- SPD +0.7average 15.3
- FDP +0.5average 3.5
- AfD +0.1average 23.9
- Linke -0.1average 10.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU173
- AfD166
- SPD111
- Grüne76
- Linke69
- BSW35
- CDU/CSU + AfD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke353 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne353 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + BSW319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.