INSA poll of 22 April 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 22 Apr 2025
- Respondents
- 2,010
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU25.0%±0
- AfD25.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke10.0%±0
- BSW5.0%±0
- FDP3.5%-0.5
- Others5.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Apr 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 2,010 people were surveyed from 17 to 22 Apr 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 Apr 2025, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Apr 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 25.9
- BSW +0.9average 4.1
- AfD +0.8average 24.2
- Grüne -0.6average 11.6
- SPD -0.3average 15.3
- FDP -0.1average 3.6
- Linke ±0average 10.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU173
- AfD173
- SPD104
- Grüne76
- Linke69
- BSW35
- CDU/CSU + AfD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne353 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke346 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke318 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.