Single poll

INSA poll of 26 April 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
22 to 25 Apr 2025
Respondents
1,204
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU25.0%±0
  • AfD25.0%±0
  • SPD15.0%±0
  • Grüne12.0%+1.0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • BSW4.0%-1.0
  • FDP3.0%-0.5
  • Others6.0%+0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Apr 2025.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,204 people were surveyed from 22 to 25 Apr 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 22 Apr 2025, Grüne gains 1.0 points, BSW loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Apr 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -0.8average 25.8
  • AfD +0.6average 24.4
  • FDP -0.6average 3.6
  • Grüne +0.5average 11.5
  • SPD -0.4average 15.4
  • Linke +0.1average 9.9
  • BSW -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 181 seatsAfD: 181 seatsSPD: 109 seatsGrüne: 87 seatsLinke: 72 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU181
  • AfD181
  • SPD109
  • Grüne87
  • Linke72
  • CDU/CSU + AfD362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne377 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne377 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke362 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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