Single poll

INSA poll of 28 April 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD
Fieldwork period
25 to 28 Apr 2025
Respondents
2,006
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU25.0%±0
  • AfD25.0%±0
  • SPD15.5%+0.5
  • Grüne11.0%-1.0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • BSW4.0%±0
  • FDP3.0%±0
  • Others6.5%+0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Apr 2025.

In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 25 to 28 Apr 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.

Compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Apr 2025, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Apr 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -0.8average 25.8
  • AfD +0.6average 24.4
  • FDP -0.6average 3.6
  • Grüne -0.5average 11.5
  • SPD +0.1average 15.4
  • Linke +0.1average 9.9
  • BSW -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 182 seatsAfD: 182 seatsSPD: 113 seatsGrüne: 80 seatsLinke: 73 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU182
  • AfD182
  • SPD113
  • Grüne80
  • Linke73
  • CDU/CSU + AfD364 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne375 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne375 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke368 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke368 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke335 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke335 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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