Single poll
INSA poll of 3 May 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Apr 2025 to 2 May 2025
- Respondents
- 1,204
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 1,204 people were surveyed from 28 Apr 2025 to 2 May 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Apr 2025, AfD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 May 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 25.8
- SPD +0.7average 15.3
- AfD -0.6average 24.6
- Grüne +0.4average 11.6
- FDP +0.3average 3.7
- Linke -0.1average 10.1
- BSW -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- AfD174
- SPD116
- Grüne87
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne384 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke369 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 28 Apr 2025INSA, 6 May 2025 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2025
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.