INSA poll of 6 May 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 5 May 2025
- Respondents
- 2,003
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU24.5%-0.5
- AfD24.5%+0.5
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%-1.0
- Linke10.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 May 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 24.5%, followed by AfD on 24.5%. 2,003 people were surveyed from 2 to 5 May 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 May 2025, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 May 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 25.9
- SPD +0.6average 15.4
- Grüne -0.6average 11.6
- FDP +0.3average 3.7
- AfD +0.1average 24.4
- Linke -0.1average 10.1
- BSW +0.1average 3.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU180
- AfD179
- SPD117
- Grüne81
- Linke73
- CDU/CSU + AfD359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne378 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke370 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke334 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.