INSA poll of 20 February 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 19 Feb 2025
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- AfD21.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%±0
- Linke7.0%+0.5
- BSW5.0%±0
- FDP4.0%-0.5
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Feb 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 18 to 19 Feb 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 17 Feb 2025, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.0average 20.0
- SPD -0.5average 15.5
- Linke +0.5average 6.5
- BSW +0.5average 4.5
- FDP -0.3average 4.3
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 30.2
- Grüne -0.2average 13.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU208
- AfD145
- SPD104
- Grüne90
- Linke48
- BSW35
- CDU/CSU + AfD353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne402 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + BSW347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke346 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.