INSA poll of 17 February 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 17 Feb 2025
- Respondents
- 2,010
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- AfD22.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%±0
- Linke6.5%+0.5
- BSW5.0%±0
- FDP4.5%+0.5
- Others4.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Feb 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 2,010 people were surveyed from 14 to 17 Feb 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 15 Feb 2025, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.7average 20.3
- Linke +0.9average 5.6
- SPD -0.5average 15.5
- Grüne -0.5average 13.5
- FDP +0.5average 4.0
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 30.4
- BSW +0.4average 4.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU207
- AfD151
- SPD103
- Grüne90
- Linke45
- BSW34
- CDU/CSU + AfD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne400 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + BSW344 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW331 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.