INSA poll of 15 February 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 14 Feb 2025
- Respondents
- 1,205
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- AfD21.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%-0.5
- Grüne13.0%±0
- Linke6.0%±0
- BSW5.0%-0.5
- FDP4.0%±0
- Others6.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Feb 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,205 people were surveyed from 10 to 14 Feb 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Feb 2025, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +0.7average 20.3
- SPD -0.5average 15.5
- Grüne -0.5average 13.5
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 30.4
- Linke +0.4average 5.6
- BSW +0.4average 4.6
- FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU210
- AfD147
- SPD105
- Grüne91
- Linke42
- BSW35
- CDU/CSU + AfD357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne406 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + BSW350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke343 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW336 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.