INSA poll of 10 February 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 10 Feb 2025
- Respondents
- 2,006
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%+1.0
- AfD22.0%+1.0
- SPD15.5%-0.5
- Grüne13.0%+1.0
- Linke6.0%+1.0
- BSW5.5%-0.5
- FDP4.0%±0
- Others4.0%-3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 8 Feb 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 7 to 10 Feb 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 8 Feb 2025, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.8average 20.2
- Linke +1.2average 4.8
- BSW +0.8average 4.7
- SPD -0.6average 16.1
- Grüne -0.5average 13.5
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 30.2
- FDP -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU205
- AfD151
- SPD106
- Grüne89
- Linke41
- BSW38
- CDU/CSU + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne400 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + BSW349 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW332 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.