INSA poll of 8 February 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 7 Feb 2025
- Respondents
- 1,204
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%-1.0
- AfD21.0%-1.0
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%-1.0
- BSW6.0%+0.5
- Linke5.0%±0
- FDP4.0%-0.5
- Others7.0%+3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Feb 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,204 people were surveyed from 3 to 7 Feb 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Feb 2025, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.5average 13.5
- BSW +1.3average 4.7
- CDU/CSU -1.2average 30.2
- AfD +0.8average 20.2
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
- SPD -0.1average 16.1
- FDP -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU205
- AfD149
- SPD113
- Grüne85
- BSW43
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + AfD354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.