Single poll
INSA poll of 3 February 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 31 Jan 2025 to 3 Feb 2025
- Respondents
- 2,004
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 2,004 people were surveyed from 31 Jan 2025 to 3 Feb 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 Feb 2025, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.9 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.9average 20.1
- BSW +0.8average 4.7
- Linke +0.7average 4.3
- Grüne -0.6average 13.6
- FDP +0.6average 3.9
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 30.3
- SPD +0.3average 15.7
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU207
- AfD151
- SPD110
- Grüne90
- BSW38
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + AfD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD317 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke331 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 1 Feb 2025INSA, 8 Feb 2025 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2025
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.