INSA poll of 1 February 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 30 to 31 Jan 2025
- Respondents
- 1,203
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%+1.0
- AfD22.0%±0
- SPD17.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%-1.0
- BSW6.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 Jan 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 1,203 people were surveyed from 30 to 31 Jan 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 30 Jan 2025, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 1.8 points lower and AfD 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.8average 13.8
- AfD +1.7average 20.3
- BSW +1.4average 4.6
- SPD +1.2average 15.8
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 30.4
- FDP +0.2average 3.8
- Linke -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU218
- AfD159
- SPD123
- Grüne87
- BSW43
- CDU/CSU + AfD377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW348 of 630
- AfD + SPD + BSW325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.