INSA poll of 30 January 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Jan 2025
- Respondents
- 1,001
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%-1.0
- AfD22.0%±0
- SPD17.0%+1.5
- Grüne13.0%+0.5
- BSW6.0%±0
- FDP4.0%-0.5
- Linke4.0%-0.5
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Jan 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 30 Jan 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 27 Jan 2025, SPD gains 1.5 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.9 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Jan 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.9average 20.1
- CDU/CSU -1.6average 30.6
- BSW +1.3average 4.7
- SPD +1.0average 16.0
- Grüne -0.7average 13.7
- FDP +0.2average 3.8
- Linke +0.2average 3.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU210
- AfD160
- SPD123
- Grüne94
- BSW43
- CDU/CSU + AfD370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD333 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW347 of 630
- AfD + SPD + BSW326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.