INSA poll of 27 January 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 27 Jan 2025
- Respondents
- 2,006
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- AfD22.0%+1.0
- SPD15.5%-0.5
- Grüne12.5%+0.5
- BSW6.0%-1.0
- FDP4.5%+0.5
- Linke4.5%+0.5
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Jan 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 24 to 27 Jan 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 26 Jan 2025, AfD gains 1.0 points, BSW loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Jan 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.5average 19.5
- Grüne -1.2average 13.7
- BSW +1.2average 4.8
- SPD -0.9average 16.4
- Linke +0.9average 3.6
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 30.7
- FDP +0.6average 3.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU220
- AfD161
- SPD113
- Grüne92
- BSW44
- CDU/CSU + AfD381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD333 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW356 of 630
- AfD + SPD + BSW318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.