INSA poll of 26 January 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 24 Jan 2025
- Respondents
- 1,203
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%+1.0
- AfD21.0%-0.5
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%-1.0
- BSW7.0%±0
- FDP4.0%-1.0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Jan 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,203 people were surveyed from 20 to 24 Jan 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Jan 2025, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has BSW 2.2 points higher and Grüne 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Jan 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +2.2average 4.8
- Grüne -1.7average 13.7
- AfD +1.5average 19.5
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 30.7
- SPD -0.4average 16.4
- Linke +0.4average 3.6
- FDP +0.1average 3.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU220
- AfD154
- SPD117
- Grüne88
- BSW51
- CDU/CSU + AfD374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW359 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne359 of 630
- AfD + SPD + BSW322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.