YouGov poll of 18 February 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 17 Feb 2025
- Respondents
- 2,131
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%-2.0
- AfD20.0%-1.0
- SPD17.0%+1.0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke9.0%+3.0
- BSW5.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 12 Feb 2025.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 2,131 people were surveyed from 14 to 17 Feb 2025, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 12 Feb 2025, Linke gains 3.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has CDU/CSU 3.4 points lower and Linke 3.2 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -3.4average 30.4
- Linke +3.2average 5.8
- SPD +1.8average 15.2
- Grüne -1.5average 13.5
- BSW +0.5average 4.5
- AfD -0.4average 20.4
- FDP -0.3average 4.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU189
- AfD140
- SPD119
- Grüne84
- Linke63
- BSW35
- CDU/CSU + AfD329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne392 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + BSW343 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke336 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.