YouGov poll of 12 February 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 10 Feb 2025
- Respondents
- 2,083
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%±0
- AfD21.0%-1.0
- SPD16.0%-2.0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke6.0%±0
- BSW5.0%-1.0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Others6.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 5 Feb 2025.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 2,083 people were surveyed from 7 to 10 Feb 2025, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 5 Feb 2025, SPD loses 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, BSW loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has Grüne 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.7average 13.7
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 30.0
- Linke +0.8average 5.2
- AfD +0.6average 20.4
- BSW +0.3average 4.7
- SPD +0.2average 15.8
- FDP -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU205
- AfD149
- SPD113
- Grüne85
- Linke43
- BSW35
- CDU/CSU + AfD354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.