YouGov poll of 5 February 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 31 Jan 2025 to 4 Feb 2025
- Respondents
- 2,181
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%±0
- AfD22.0%-1.0
- SPD18.0%+3.0
- Grüne12.0%-1.0
- Linke6.0%+1.0
- BSW6.0%±0
- FDP4.0%+1.0
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 29 Jan 2025.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 2,181 people were surveyed from 31 Jan 2025 to 4 Feb 2025, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 29 Jan 2025, SPD gains 3.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has SPD 2.2 points higher and AfD 2.1 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.2average 15.8
- AfD +2.1average 19.9
- Grüne -1.7average 13.7
- Linke +1.6average 4.4
- CDU/CSU -1.2average 30.2
- BSW +1.2average 4.8
- FDP -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU196
- AfD149
- SPD122
- Grüne81
- Linke41
- BSW41
- CDU/CSU + AfD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.