YouGov poll of 29 January 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 27 Jan 2025
- Respondents
- 1,781
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%+1.0
- AfD23.0%+4.0
- SPD15.0%-4.0
- Grüne13.0%-2.0
- BSW6.0%±0
- Linke5.0%+1.0
- FDP3.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 22 Jan 2025.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,781 people were surveyed from 24 to 27 Jan 2025, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 22 Jan 2025, AfD gains 4.0 points, SPD loses 4.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has AfD 3.1 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Jan 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +3.1average 19.9
- CDU/CSU -1.8average 30.8
- BSW +1.3average 4.7
- Linke +1.2average 3.8
- SPD -1.1average 16.1
- FDP -1.0average 4.0
- Grüne -0.6average 13.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU201
- AfD159
- SPD104
- Grüne90
- BSW41
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + AfD360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne395 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + BSW346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.