YouGov poll of 22 January 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 20 Jan 2025
- Respondents
- 1,858
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%-2.0
- SPD19.0%+1.0
- AfD19.0%-2.0
- Grüne15.0%+1.0
- BSW6.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 15 Jan 2025.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,858 people were surveyed from 17 to 20 Jan 2025, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 15 Jan 2025, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has SPD 3.2 points higher and CDU/CSU 3.1 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Jan 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +3.2average 15.8
- CDU/CSU -3.1average 31.1
- Grüne +1.4average 13.6
- BSW +0.9average 5.1
- Linke +0.7average 3.3
- AfD -0.5average 19.5
- FDP -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU203
- SPD138
- AfD137
- Grüne109
- BSW43
- CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD340 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW355 of 630
- SPD + AfD + BSW318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.