YouGov poll of 21 February 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 20 Feb 2025
- Respondents
- 1,681
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%+2.0
- AfD20.0%±0
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- Grüne13.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- BSW5.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 18 Feb 2025.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 1,681 people were surveyed from 17 to 20 Feb 2025, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 18 Feb 2025, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has Linke 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.5average 6.5
- CDU/CSU -1.2average 30.2
- SPD +0.9average 15.1
- BSW +0.6average 4.4
- AfD -0.4average 20.4
- Grüne -0.4average 13.4
- FDP -0.4average 4.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU201
- AfD138
- SPD111
- Grüne90
- Linke55
- BSW35
- CDU/CSU + AfD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne402 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + BSW347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke346 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.