YouGov poll of 26 March 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 24 Mar 2025
- Respondents
- 1,890
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%-3.0
- AfD24.0%+4.0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- Grüne12.0%-1.0
- Linke10.0%+2.0
- BSW5.0%±0
- FDP3.0%-1.0
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 21 Feb 2025.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 1,890 people were surveyed from 21 to 24 Mar 2025, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 21 Feb 2025, AfD gains 4.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 3.0 points, Linke gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has CDU/CSU 3.0 points lower and AfD 2.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Mar 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -3.0average 29.0
- AfD +2.8average 21.2
- Linke +1.7average 8.3
- FDP -1.1average 4.1
- BSW +0.6average 4.4
- Grüne -0.5average 12.5
- SPD -0.3average 15.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU178
- AfD164
- SPD103
- Grüne82
- Linke69
- BSW34
- CDU/CSU + AfD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke350 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne349 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.