YouGov poll of 30 April 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 28 Apr 2025
- Respondents
- 1,987
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- AfD26.0%+2.0
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke10.0%±0
- BSW5.0%±0
- FDP4.0%+1.0
- Others3.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous YouGov poll of 26 Mar 2025.
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 26.0%. 1,987 people were surveyed from 25 to 28 Apr 2025, method Persönlich, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 26 Mar 2025, AfD gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Apr 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.4average 24.6
- SPD -1.4average 15.4
- BSW +1.1average 3.9
- CDU/CSU +0.4average 25.6
- Grüne +0.4average 11.6
- FDP +0.4average 3.6
- Linke -0.1average 10.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU176
- AfD176
- SPD95
- Grüne81
- Linke68
- BSW34
- CDU/CSU + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne352 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke339 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke325 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.