Single poll
YouGov poll of 14 May 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 12 May 2025
- Respondents
- 1,927
- Method
- Online
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,927 people were surveyed from 9 to 12 May 2025, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 30 Apr 2025, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 May 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.0average 26.0
- Linke -0.9average 9.9
- AfD +0.8average 24.2
- SPD -0.6average 15.6
- Grüne +0.6average 11.4
- FDP -0.6average 3.6
- BSW +0.1average 3.9
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU194
- AfD179
- SPD107
- Grüne86
- Linke64
- CDU/CSU + AfD373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne387 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke329 of 630
More
More polls
← YouGov, 30 Apr 2025YouGov, 18 Jun 2025 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2025
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.