Single poll
YouGov poll of 18 June 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- YouGov
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 16 Jun 2025
- Respondents
- 1,912
- Method
- Online
In this poll YouGov has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,912 people were surveyed from 13 to 16 Jun 2025, method Online, commissioned by YouGov.
Compared with the previous YouGov poll of 14 May 2025, AfD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, YouGov has Linke 2.2 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Jun 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -2.2average 10.2
- SPD -1.4average 15.4
- BSW +1.0average 4.0
- CDU/CSU +0.8average 27.2
- Grüne +0.6average 11.4
- FDP -0.4average 3.4
- AfD +0.1average 22.9
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU196
- AfD161
- SPD98
- Grüne84
- Linke56
- BSW35
- CDU/CSU + AfD357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke350 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + BSW329 of 630
More
More polls
← YouGov, 14 May 2025YouGov, 16 Jul 2025 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2025
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.