Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 13 February 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
10 to 12 Feb 2025
Respondents
1,579
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU32.0%+1.0
  • AfD21.0%±0
  • SPD14.0%-1.0
  • Grüne14.0%±0
  • Linke6.0%+1.0
  • BSW4.5%+0.5
  • FDP4.0%±0
  • Others4.5%-1.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 6 Feb 2025.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,579 people were surveyed from 10 to 12 Feb 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 6 Feb 2025, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU 1.8 points higher and SPD 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.8average 30.2
  • SPD -1.5average 15.5
  • AfD +0.6average 20.4
  • Linke +0.6average 5.4
  • Grüne +0.5average 13.5
  • BSW -0.2average 4.7
  • FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 232 seatsAfD: 152 seatsSPD: 102 seatsGrüne: 101 seatsLinke: 43 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU232
  • AfD152
  • SPD102
  • Grüne101
  • Linke43
  • CDU/CSU + AfD384 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD334 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne333 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne355 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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