Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 6 March 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
4 to 5 Mar 2025
Respondents
1,325
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU29.0%-3.0
  • AfD21.0%±0
  • SPD16.0%+2.0
  • Grüne12.0%-2.0
  • Linke9.0%+3.0
  • BSW5.0%+0.5
  • FDP3.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%+0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 13 Feb 2025.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,325 people were surveyed from 4 to 5 Mar 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 13 Feb 2025, CDU/CSU loses 3.0 points, Linke gains 3.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Linke 1.8 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Mar 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +1.8average 7.2
  • FDP -1.3average 4.3
  • Grüne -0.9average 12.9
  • CDU/CSU -0.7average 29.7
  • SPD +0.6average 15.4
  • AfD +0.5average 20.5
  • BSW +0.5average 4.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 198 seatsAfD: 144 seatsSPD: 110 seatsGrüne: 82 seatsLinke: 62 seatsBSW: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU198
  • AfD144
  • SPD110
  • Grüne82
  • Linke62
  • BSW34
  • CDU/CSU + AfD342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne390 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke370 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + BSW342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke342 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne336 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke316 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.