Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 3 April 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
31 Mar 2025 to 2 Apr 2025
Respondents
1,334
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU26.0%-3.0
  • AfD24.0%+3.0
  • SPD16.0%±0
  • Grüne11.0%-1.0
  • Linke10.0%+1.0
  • FDP4.0%+1.0
  • BSW4.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 6 Mar 2025.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 1,334 people were surveyed from 31 Mar 2025 to 2 Apr 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 6 Mar 2025, CDU/CSU loses 3.0 points, AfD gains 3.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU 2.1 points lower and AfD 2.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Apr 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -2.1average 28.1
  • AfD +2.0average 22.0
  • Grüne -1.4average 12.4
  • Linke +0.9average 9.1
  • SPD +0.8average 15.2
  • FDP +0.2average 3.8
  • BSW -0.2average 4.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 188 seatsAfD: 174 seatsSPD: 116 seatsGrüne: 80 seatsLinke: 72 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU188
  • AfD174
  • SPD116
  • Grüne80
  • Linke72
  • CDU/CSU + AfD362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne384 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke376 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne370 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke326 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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