Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 7 May 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
5 to 6 May 2025
Respondents
1,325
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
  • AfD23.0%-1.0
  • SPD16.0%±0
  • Grüne11.0%±0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • FDP4.0%±0
  • BSW4.0%±0
  • Others5.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 3 Apr 2025.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,325 people were surveyed from 5 to 6 May 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 3 Apr 2025, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has AfD 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 May 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -1.5average 24.5
  • CDU/CSU +1.3average 25.7
  • SPD +0.6average 15.4
  • Grüne -0.6average 11.6
  • FDP +0.3average 3.7
  • Linke -0.1average 10.1
  • BSW +0.1average 3.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 195 seatsAfD: 167 seatsSPD: 116 seatsGrüne: 80 seatsLinke: 72 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU195
  • AfD167
  • SPD116
  • Grüne80
  • Linke72
  • CDU/CSU + AfD362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne391 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke383 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne363 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke347 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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