Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 4 June 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
2 to 3 Jun 2025
Respondents
1,292
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU29.0%+2.0
  • AfD23.0%±0
  • SPD15.0%-1.0
  • Grüne12.0%+1.0
  • Linke9.0%-1.0
  • FDP4.0%±0
  • BSW4.0%±0
  • Others4.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 7 May 2025.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,292 people were surveyed from 2 to 3 Jun 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 7 May 2025, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU 2.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Jun 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +2.5average 26.5
  • Linke -1.2average 10.2
  • AfD -0.9average 23.9
  • SPD -0.5average 15.5
  • FDP +0.5average 3.5
  • Grüne +0.3average 11.7
  • BSW ±0average 4.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 208 seatsAfD: 165 seatsSPD: 107 seatsGrüne: 86 seatsLinke: 64 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU208
  • AfD165
  • SPD107
  • Grüne86
  • Linke64
  • CDU/CSU + AfD373 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne401 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke379 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne358 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke336 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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