Infratest dimap poll of 3 July 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Jun 2025 to 2 Jul 2025
- Respondents
- 1,312
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%+1.0
- AfD23.0%±0
- SPD13.0%-2.0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke10.0%+1.0
- BSW4.0%±0
- FDP3.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 4 Jun 2025.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,312 people were surveyed from 30 Jun 2025 to 2 Jul 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 4 Jun 2025, SPD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU 2.2 points higher and SPD 2.1 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Jul 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.2average 27.8
- SPD -2.1average 15.1
- Grüne +0.6average 11.4
- Linke +0.2average 9.8
- FDP -0.2average 3.2
- AfD -0.1average 23.1
- BSW -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU215
- AfD164
- SPD93
- Grüne86
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne394 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke373 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne343 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke329 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.