Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 6 February 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
3 to 5 Feb 2025
Respondents
1,302
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU/CSU31.0%+1.0
  • AfD21.0%+1.0
  • SPD15.0%±0
  • Grüne14.0%-1.0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • FDP4.0%±0
  • BSW4.0%±0
  • Others6.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 30 Jan 2025.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,302 people were surveyed from 3 to 5 Feb 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 30 Jan 2025, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.2average 16.2
  • CDU/CSU +1.0average 30.0
  • BSW -0.9average 4.9
  • Grüne +0.7average 13.3
  • AfD +0.6average 20.4
  • Linke +0.4average 4.6
  • FDP -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 227 seatsAfD: 154 seatsSPD: 110 seatsGrüne: 102 seatsLinke: 37 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU227
  • AfD154
  • SPD110
  • Grüne102
  • Linke37
  • CDU/CSU + AfD381 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD337 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne329 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne366 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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