Infratest dimap poll of 30 January 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 29 Jan 2025
- Respondents
- 1,336
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%-1.0
- AfD20.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%+1.0
- Linke5.0%+1.0
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW4.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 9 Jan 2025.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 1,336 people were surveyed from 27 to 29 Jan 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 9 Jan 2025, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Jan 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.4average 13.6
- SPD -1.1average 16.1
- Linke +1.1average 3.9
- BSW -0.8average 4.8
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 30.5
- AfD -0.3average 20.3
- FDP +0.1average 3.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU223
- AfD148
- SPD111
- Grüne111
- Linke37
- CDU/CSU + AfD371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD334 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne334 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne370 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.