Infratest dimap poll of 9 January 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 8 Jan 2025
- Respondents
- 1,323
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU31.0%-2.0
- AfD20.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%+1.0
- Grüne14.0%±0
- BSW5.0%±0
- FDP4.0%+1.0
- Linke4.0%+1.0
- Others7.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 19 Dec 2024.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 1,323 people were surveyed from 6 to 8 Jan 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 19 Dec 2024, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Jan 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.3average 16.3
- AfD +0.9average 19.1
- Linke +0.9average 3.1
- Grüne +0.6average 13.4
- BSW -0.5average 5.5
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 31.2
- FDP +0.1average 3.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU230
- AfD148
- SPD111
- Grüne104
- BSW37
- CDU/CSU + AfD378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne334 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne363 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.