Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 13 February 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Institut Wahlkreisprognose
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 13 Feb 2025
- Respondents
- 1,700
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU32.0%+4.0
- AfD20.0%+0.5
- SPD12.5%-4.0
- Grüne12.5%+0.5
- Linke6.0%+1.0
- BSW4.5%-1.0
- FDP4.0%-0.5
- Freie Wähler1.5%-1.0
- Others7.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 3 Feb 2025.
In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 1,700 people were surveyed from 11 to 13 Feb 2025, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.
Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 3 Feb 2025, CDU/CSU gains 4.0 points, SPD loses 4.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD 3.2 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -3.2average 15.7
- CDU/CSU +1.8average 30.2
- Grüne -1.2average 13.7
- Linke +0.6average 5.4
- AfD -0.5average 20.5
- Freie Wähler -0.5average 2.0
- BSW -0.2average 4.7
- FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU243
- AfD152
- SPD95
- Grüne95
- Linke45
- CDU/CSU + AfD395 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne338 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne342 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.