Single poll
GMS poll of 7 February 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 7 Feb 2025
- Respondents
- 1,011
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,011 people were surveyed from 4 to 7 Feb 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 3 Jan 2025, CDU/CSU loses 3.0 points, AfD gains 3.0 points, Linke gains 2.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.1average 16.1
- BSW -0.9average 4.9
- Grüne +0.5average 13.5
- AfD +0.4average 20.6
- Freie Wähler -0.3average 2.3
- CDU/CSU +0.1average 29.9
- FDP -0.1average 4.1
- Linke ±0average 5.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU222
- AfD156
- SPD111
- Grüne104
- Linke37
- CDU/CSU + AfD378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne326 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne371 of 630
More
More polls
← GMS, 3 Jan 2025GMS, 19 Feb 2025 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2025
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.