Single poll
GMS poll of 19 February 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 19 Feb 2025
- Respondents
- 1,016
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 1,016 people were surveyed from 16 to 19 Feb 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 7 Feb 2025, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.0average 30.0
- BSW -0.6average 4.6
- SPD -0.4average 15.4
- Grüne -0.4average 13.4
- AfD -0.3average 20.3
- FDP -0.2average 4.2
- Freie Wähler +0.2average 1.8
- Linke -0.1average 6.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU230
- AfD148
- SPD111
- Grüne96
- Linke45
- CDU/CSU + AfD378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne326 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne355 of 630
More
More polls
← GMS, 7 Feb 2025GMS, 7 Apr 2025 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2025
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.