GMS poll of 7 April 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- GMS
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 7 Apr 2025
- Respondents
- 1,022
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%-5.0
- AfD25.0%+5.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%-2.0
- Linke10.0%+4.0
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- Freie Wähler1.0%-1.0
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous GMS poll of 19 Feb 2025.
In this poll GMS has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,022 people were surveyed from 2 to 7 Apr 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by GMS.
Compared with the previous GMS poll of 19 Feb 2025, CDU/CSU loses 5.0 points, AfD gains 5.0 points, Linke gains 4.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, GMS has AfD 2.3 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Apr 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.3average 22.7
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 27.1
- Freie Wähler -1.0average 2.0
- Grüne -0.8average 11.8
- SPD -0.4average 15.4
- Linke +0.3average 9.7
- FDP +0.3average 3.7
- BSW -0.2average 4.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU188
- AfD181
- SPD109
- Grüne80
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne377 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke369 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.