Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 14 February 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 13 Feb 2025
- Respondents
- 1,348
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- AfD20.0%±0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- Grüne14.0%-1.0
- Linke7.0%+1.0
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 7 Feb 2025.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 1,348 people were surveyed from 11 to 13 Feb 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 7 Feb 2025, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has Linke 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.5average 5.5
- SPD +0.8average 15.2
- BSW -0.7average 4.7
- Grüne +0.6average 13.4
- AfD -0.5average 20.5
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 30.2
- FDP -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU217
- AfD145
- SPD116
- Grüne101
- Linke51
- CDU/CSU + AfD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne318 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne362 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.