Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 20 February 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ZDF-Politbarometer
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 20 Feb 2025
- Respondents
- 1,349
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%-2.0
- AfD21.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%±0
- Linke8.0%+1.0
- FDP4.5%+0.5
- BSW4.5%+0.5
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 14 Feb 2025.
In this poll Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,349 people were surveyed from 19 to 20 Feb 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ZDF-Politbarometer.
Compared with the previous Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll of 14 Feb 2025, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen has CDU/CSU 2.0 points lower and Linke 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.0average 30.0
- Linke +1.8average 6.2
- Grüne +0.9average 13.1
- AfD +0.8average 20.2
- SPD +0.5average 15.5
- FDP +0.3average 4.2
- BSW -0.2average 4.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU203
- AfD152
- SPD116
- Grüne101
- Linke58
- CDU/CSU + AfD355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD319 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke362 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.